Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PAL
1 - 2
NAP
26%
24%
51%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
77%
14%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 1
NAP
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
BOL
31%
25%
45%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1934 |
LEO
4 - 0
PAD
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1934 |
PAD
0 - 0
ACM
33%
22%
45%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
CAS
0 - 0
PAD
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
PAD
2 - 0
LAZ
45%
24%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |