Napoli vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
NAP
41%
25%
33%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
INT
0 - 0
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAP
4 - 2
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAR
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
CAG
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SAS
1 - 1
CAG
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CAG
1 - 3
ROM
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAG
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |