Napoli vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
CES
0 - 0
NAP
36%
31%
33%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
FCP
0 - 1
NAP
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
52%
27%
22%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
FIO
1 - 1
NAP
56%
25%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
NAP
1 - 0
FCP
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAG
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1974 |
CAG
1 - 0
SAM
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
BOL
2 - 0
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
CAG
1 - 1
VAR
59%
25%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
TER
0 - 2
CAG
40%
29%
30%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |