Napoli vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
29.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
NAP
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
45%
31%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
38%
32%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
VER
0 - 0
NAP
40%
30%
30%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
NAP
1 - 1
PAL
66%
24%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
CAG
1 - 1
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAG
30%
31%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
CAG
0 - 1
JUV
40%
29%
31%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |