Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
NAP
1 - 2
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
SAM
6 - 3
NAP
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
NAP
0 - 4
PAR
30%
29%
42%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PIA
1 - 0
NAP
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
BRE
1 - 3
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
BOL
2 - 1
BRE
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
BRE
3 - 1
EMP
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |