Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
24.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
PAL
0 - 0
NAP
40%
31%
30%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
LEC
3 - 0
NAP
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
NAP
3 - 0
TRI
66%
22%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1965 |
NAP
1 - 2
ROM
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
VNZ
0 - 0
NAP
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
TRI
0 - 3
BRE
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BRE
0 - 1
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
SPA
2 - 1
BRE
52%
27%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
BRE
1 - 1
VNZ
65%
22%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |