Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 1
NAP
29%
23%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
NAP
2 - 1
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1934 |
PAL
2 - 2
BRE
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1934 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
TOR
1 - 0
BRE
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
BRE
3 - 1
CAS
63%
19%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |