Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
PRO
0 - 0
NAP
23%
20%
58%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 1
NAP
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
NAP
3 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
NAP
4 - 1
MOD
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
TOR
4 - 1
NAP
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
BRE
0 - 4
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
LAZ
2 - 0
BRE
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
BRE
0 - 1
BOL
42%
25%
32%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1931 |
GEN
4 - 0
BRE
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 0
BRE
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |