Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.6%
16.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
JUV
3 - 2
NAP
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
NAP
1 - 4
INT
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
NAP
0 - 5
BIE
72%
15%
13%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
FIU
1 - 1
NAP
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 10
BOL
34%
22%
44%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1929 |
BRE
0 - 5
GEN
48%
22%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1929 |
FIO
3 - 2
BRE
63%
19%
17%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
VNZ
2 - 3
BRE
53%
20%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |