Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 3
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
NAP
56%
22%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
1 - 3
PSV
39%
23%
38%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
5 - 1
PES
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2012 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 3
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
0 - 0
LAZ
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BOL
2 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 0
LIV
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
BOL
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |