Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
INT
3 - 1
NAP
75%
15%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
21%
26%
53%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2000 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAM
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
SAM
1 - 0
NAP
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
NAP
1 - 3
GEN
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ROM
2 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
BOL
0 - 1
VNZ
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
VNZ
2 - 2
BOL
35%
29%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
36%
28%
36%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |