Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
28%
30%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
NAP
2 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 2
CAG
64%
21%
14%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
ACM
6 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
8%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 1
FIO
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 3
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
BOL
1 - 3
PAR
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |