Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
38%
28%
33%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
FIO
1 - 0
NAP
52%
25%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
NAP
5 - 0
USF
70%
20%
11%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
LAZ
1 - 1
NAP
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
NAP
3 - 0
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1978 |
BOL
2 - 1
GEN
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
VIC
3 - 0
BOL
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROM
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 1
FIO
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |