Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
NAP
0 - 0
SPA
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
NAP
1 - 2
ACM
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 1
NAP
19%
22%
60%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1977 |
ACM
3 - 1
NAP
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
0 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
SPA
0 - 2
BOL
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
ACM
5 - 0
BOL
66%
21%
12%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
7%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |