Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
MOD
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 1
NAP
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
VIC
0 - 0
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1963 |
BEO
3 - 1
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
INT
4 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 1
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |