Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
1 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
8 - 1
PRO
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 0
NAP
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
SPA
2 - 1
BOL
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
57%
21%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
PRO
2 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
BOL
3 - 2
NOV
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |