Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
NAP
2 - 2
TOR
26%
24%
51%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
NAP
41%
25%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NAP
61%
20%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
NAP
3 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
NAP
1 - 1
VNZ
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
LIV
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1946 |
BOL
3 - 1
LAZ
66%
19%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |