Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
NOV
0 - 1
NAP
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
LAZ
41%
24%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
NAP
3 - 1
GEN
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
FIO
2 - 0
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1940 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
JUV
1 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
BAR
1 - 1
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
LAZ
2 - 2
BOL
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |