Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
TOR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
BAR
3 - 1
NAP
43%
24%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 2
ACL
44%
22%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
BOL
5 - 1
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
24%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOL
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
TRI
3 - 1
BOL
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | -1 |