Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
62%
20%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 0
BRE
60%
21%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAP
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 0
INT
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1935 |
FIO
0 - 1
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1935 |
BOL
4 - 1
GEN
72%
16%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1935 |
NAP
1 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1935 |
BOL
3 - 0
BRE
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |