Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Napoli vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
SPA
4 - 2
NAP
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 1
BAN
56%
20%
25%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 5
ACM
18%
22%
59%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
3 - 1
BAN
56%
20%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
BAN
2 - 0
NAP
52%
22%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |