Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 5-4
Napoli vs Bangor City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
NAP
1 - 5
ACM
18%
22%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ROM
3 - 0
NAP
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
BAN
2 - 0
NAP
52%
22%
27%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1962 |
NAP
2 - 1
SPA
53%
22%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bangor City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1962 |
BAN
2 - 0
NAP
52%
22%
27%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |