Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
PAD
4 - 2
NAP
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
UDI
3 - 2
NAP
42%
27%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
SAM
2 - 2
NAP
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ATL
2 - 1
ROM
36%
28%
36%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
PAR
2 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
PAD
3 - 2
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
ATL
0 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1995 |
LAZ
5 - 1
ATL
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |