Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
18.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
PRO
0 - 0
NAP
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
NAP
2 - 0
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
NOV
68%
18%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 0
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
TRI
0 - 0
ATL
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1956 |
ATL
2 - 2
GEN
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 1
LAZ
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1956 |
TOR
1 - 3
ATL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |