Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
2 - 1
NAP
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
LIV
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
INT
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
FIO
1 - 3
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
35%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 2
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
ATL
1 - 3
LIV
64%
18%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |