Napoli vs ACO Liguria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
33.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ASL
2 - 2
NAP
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
1 - 0
LAZ
37%
24%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAP
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ACL
5 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
INT
2 - 1
ACL
80%
12%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ASL
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1937 |
ACL
2 - 1
ATL
60%
19%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1937 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |