Napoli vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
14.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
UNI
1 - 4
NAP
40%
24%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
23%
35%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
NAP
1 - 0
PIS
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
NAP
2 - 1
TAR
72%
16%
11%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 0
NAP
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SPE
1 - 0
REG
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
MOD
3 - 0
SPE
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
SPE
4 - 3
VIC
58%
21%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
USA
2 - 3
SPE
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SPE
2 - 0
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |