Napoli vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 1
TRI
47%
28%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAL
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2003 |
ASC
1 - 0
LEC
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 2
ASC
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
ASC
2 - 1
LIV
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |