Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Napoli vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
ROM
1 - 0
NAP
42%
28%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
NAP
3 - 1
BOL
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
VER
0 - 1
NAP
34%
29%
37%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1988 |
NAP
0 - 0
GIR
70%
20%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
NAP
2 - 0
FIO
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1988 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASC
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1988 |
ASC
0 - 3
ROM
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1988 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1988 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1988 |
ASC
0 - 1
PIS
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |