Napoli vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
DTB
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1978 |
DTB
2 - 0
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
NAP
0 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
7%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
RIM
1 - 2
NAP
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ASC
0 - 1
TER
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
MOD
2 - 3
ASC
30%
30%
40%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |