Napoli vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
PAL
4 - 0
NAP
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
ROM
5 - 0
NAP
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
USF
1 - 0
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
NAP
2 - 0
COS
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
TRI
1 - 0
NAP
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEC
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
TOR
2 - 1
VAR
60%
20%
21%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
PRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
25%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
ASS
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
PAD
0 - 0
VAR
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |