Napoli vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
COM
1 - 1
NAP
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 0
SAM
37%
24%
39%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BRE
1 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
ASL
0 - 1
NAP
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASL
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
LEC
3 - 2
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
SSS
0 - 0
BAR
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
COS
1 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |