Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 3-1
Napoli vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GEN
2 - 3
NAP
28%
29%
43%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
APO
1 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1976 |
NAP
3 - 0
VER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
FCC
0 - 0
NAP
25%
31%
45%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
APO
1 - 1
NAP
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
APO
2 - 0
IRA
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
IRA
0 - 0
APO
53%
20%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
APO
0 - 1
ZOR
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
ZOR
2 - 0
APO
55%
20%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |