Napoli vs AIK Solna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
3 - 1
PAR
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 3
NAP
41%
25%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 2
NAP
54%
22%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NAP
2 - 0
GIR
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AIK Solna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DJU
0 - 3
AIK
34%
29%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AIK
2 - 1
HEL
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
CSK
0 - 2
AIK
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GAI
0 - 1
AIK
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
AIK
0 - 1
CSK
31%
28%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |