Napoli vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
9.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
USA
2 - 2
NAP
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 40 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1948 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
NAP
5 - 0
ASL
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1948 |
ACM
3 - 0
NAP
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1949 |
SIR
5 - 0
ACP
67%
17%
16%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
ACP
1 - 3
TAR
60%
19%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
ACP
0 - 4
REG
31%
22%
47%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
VIC
1 - 2
ACP
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACP
0 - 1
AMB
89%
8%
4%
|
53 | 14 | 39 | 0 |