Napoli vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
RAV
0 - 0
NAP
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2000 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
NAP
0 - 0
PIS
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
BRE
3 - 1
NAP
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
ALZ
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
0 - 0
PES
32%
29%
39%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
VIC
2 - 1
ASS
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 2
TER
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
ASS
1 - 1
SAM
12%
23%
65%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |