Napoli vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
FIO
5 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
NAP
1 - 5
INT
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 2
NAP
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1963 |
BEO
2 - 0
NAP
57%
20%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
NAP
2 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 0
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
MAN
2 - 0
VNZ
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
VIC
4 - 2
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ROM
7 - 1
MAN
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |