Napoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
VER
1 - 3
NAP
33%
30%
37%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 1
MOD
52%
27%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2007 |
BRE
0 - 1
NAP
47%
28%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 2
CES
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
PIA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
TRE
1 - 1
CES
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |