Napoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
11%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
REG
2 - 1
NAP
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 0
PES
58%
24%
19%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
NAP
26%
27%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
ASL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 1
CES
43%
31%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
CES
4 - 2
RAV
38%
27%
34%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
TRE
0 - 0
CES
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |