Napoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
PAO
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1988 |
NAP
3 - 0
SSB
94%
4%
1%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
SSS
0 - 2
NAP
16%
25%
59%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
CES
4 - 1
MOD
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
TRI
1 - 0
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
TOR
1 - 0
CES
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1988 |
CES
3 - 1
USF
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
CES
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |