Coppa Italia Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Napoli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAT
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 2
NAP
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
REG
1 - 6
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
VER
1 - 0
NAP
45%
29%
27%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAL
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
CES
1 - 0
VIC
34%
25%
41%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 0
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CES
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |