Napoli U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
11º
3º
35
7º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
79.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
70% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 29 |
14º
|
70% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
2 - 1
NAP
48%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 4
NAP
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 2
NAP
49%
23%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 0
PIS
30%
23%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SPE
4 - 3
BAR
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 0
SPE
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 2
CES
28%
21%
51%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
TER
0 - 0
SPE
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SPE
2 - 3
CRO
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |