Napoli U19 vs Nocerina Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 2
NAP
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
NAP
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 4
LAZ
29%
25%
46%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 3
NAP
58%
24%
18%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
2 - 1
PES
62%
21%
17%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 3
CAT
27%
25%
48%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |