Napier City Rovers vs Whanganui Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.3%
Win probability
3.92
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
4.4%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
8.1%
5-0
9.6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
12.2%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
3º
5
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WKA
0 - 3
NAP
45%
21%
35%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MIR
1 - 3
NAP
67%
16%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 3
WKA
51%
20%
29%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
WSU
1 - 3
NAP
49%
20%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
NAP
2 - 2
PET
69%
16%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Whanganui Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
1 - 3
STO
10%
14%
76%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
NWA
2 - 3
WAF
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
WAF
0 - 7
WEL
5%
11%
85%
|
7 | 49 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 1
WAF
95%
4%
1%
|
8 | 44 | 36 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
WAF
91%
7%
3%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |