Napier City Rovers vs Western Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
PET
81%
11%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
NAP
69%
16%
15%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Western Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
WEL
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
NWA
1 - 5
WSU
12%
15%
72%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PET
1 - 3
WSU
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 3
WKA
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |