Napier City Rovers vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
82.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.2%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 3
NAP
71%
15%
14%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 5
EAS
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 2
NAP
79%
12%
9%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 1
NAP
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAP
0 - 1
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
WEL
3 - 3
AUC
56%
20%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
1 - 0
WEL
36%
21%
43%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 0
AUC
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
4 - 2
WEL
84%
11%
6%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
AUC
1 - 3
WEL
55%
20%
24%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |