Napier City Rovers vs Palmerston North Marist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 2
WSU
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NWA
2 - 3
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
PET
81%
11%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MIR
2 - 3
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Palmerston North Marist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PNM
3 - 0
HNW
21%
19%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FCW
2 - 0
PNM
18%
18%
65%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 3
IBU
49%
21%
30%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PNM
4 - 1
MAS
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
FCW
0 - 3
PNM
27%
21%
53%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |