Napier City Rovers vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
3º
35
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
1 - 2
BIR
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 5
NAP
9%
13%
78%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 0
WEL
67%
17%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
MIR
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
STO
0 - 2
NAP
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MIR
8 - 1
NWA
94%
4%
1%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 9
MIR
15%
17%
68%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
2 - 1
MIR
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
2 - 1
MIR
40%
22%
38%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
5 - 0
IBU
92%
6%
3%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | 0 |