Napier City Rovers vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.6%
58%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
3º
21
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 24 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 24 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
NAP
13%
16%
71%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
STO
1 - 3
NAP
13%
15%
72%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 2
NAP
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
MEL
4 - 3
NAP
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 1
BIR
15%
20%
66%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MIR
3 - 0
NWA
92%
5%
2%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
MIR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
1 - 4
WEL
27%
21%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -3 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
MIR
77%
14%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 3
MEL
66%
18%
16%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |