Nantwich Town vs Hereford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
WIT
2 - 5
NAN
34%
24%
41%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NAN
3 - 1
WOR
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
NAN
0 - 4
MIC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RED
2 - 3
NAN
17%
19%
65%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
WAR
2 - 2
NAN
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hereford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
HER
3 - 0
STN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
HER
2 - 1
FYL
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
CHE
5 - 3
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
HER
3 - 3
KET
33%
24%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HER
2 - 2
CHO
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |